Dec 22, 2009, 04:09 PM // 16:09
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#181
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Jungle Guide
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133 runs so far. No bear.
2574 cc's though. Can't complain too much. Other than being bored out of my mind with the quest.
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Dec 22, 2009, 04:24 PM // 16:24
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#182
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Wilds Pathfinder
Join Date: Aug 2005
Guild: BEN
Profession: R/N
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Quote:
Originally Posted by deejaysteve
Finally got one! About 300 runs last year, 53th run this year. (know from snowman summoners)
I'm not good in posting pictures,but give it a try:
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grats .......... that's what I'm talkin bout willis
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Dec 22, 2009, 04:24 PM // 16:24
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#183
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Wilds Pathfinder
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Poland
Guild: For Your Entertainment [FYE]
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I made 46 runs so far, and no MPB. I will be trying until WIntersday final. If I wont get it to cheer me up I'll open all of my 100 Gifts from Nicholas i keep for special moment.
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Dec 23, 2009, 02:08 AM // 02:08
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#184
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Krytan Explorer
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: The Netherlands
Profession: W/
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110 runs sofar since the event strated. 9 stacks of shards; but still no MPB. Tomorrow i'll give it another go.
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Dec 23, 2009, 06:20 AM // 06:20
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#185
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Jungle Guide
Join Date: May 2007
Location: Chicago
Guild: [SIR]
Profession: D/
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4 stacks of shards now, about...80ish runs...i keep tellin myself that I'll get one lol...someone stop me
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Dec 23, 2009, 07:36 AM // 07:36
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#186
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Wilds Pathfinder
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Chicago
Guild: LFG
Profession: R/
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I'm up to around 70 runs or so....5 stacks of shards...no luck so far but theres plenty of time left until the finale
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Dec 23, 2009, 07:30 PM // 19:30
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#188
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Ascalonian Squire
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Phoenix, Arizona
Profession: E/Me
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Quote:
Originally Posted by deejaysteve
Finally got one! About 300 runs last year, 53th run this year. (know from snowman summoners)
I'm not good in posting pictures,but give it a try:
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Did you seriously get that polar bear on your 53th run?
Last edited by XyphoidProcess; Dec 23, 2009 at 08:52 PM // 20:52..
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Dec 23, 2009, 10:05 PM // 22:05
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#189
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Wilds Pathfinder
Join Date: Aug 2007
Guild: [Luck]
Profession: E/
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Quote:
Originally Posted by XyphoidProcess
Did you seriously get that polar bear on your 53th run?
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extreme luck.
the person that does 353 runs has the same drop rate as the person that does 17 runs.
it's all luck.
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Dec 23, 2009, 10:12 PM // 22:12
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#190
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Ascalonian Squire
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Phoenix, Arizona
Profession: E/Me
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rexion
extreme luck.
the person that does 353 runs has the same drop rate as the person that does 17 runs.
it's all luck.
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Well, I hope I get as lucky as he did, if not, luckier.
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Dec 24, 2009, 03:04 AM // 03:04
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#191
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Academy Page
Join Date: Jan 2007
Guild: LTD
Profession: E/Me
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almost at 6 stacks of shards now, no bear . I just want one to have. I won't sell it if I get one, why can't anet let me see those wonderful gold letters pop out of the chest?
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Dec 24, 2009, 03:09 AM // 03:09
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#192
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Older Than God (1)
Join Date: Aug 2006
Guild: Clan Dethryche [dth]
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Quote:
Originally Posted by XyphoidProcess
Did you seriously get that polar bear on your 53th run?
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Most of the people that got one last year got one by 50 runs.
Most of the people that did 500-1000 runs never got one.
You can infer that the drop chance is tiny, that the vast majority of players do a small number of runs and that only a few players do a large number of runs. In short, it's all luck.
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Dec 24, 2009, 03:12 AM // 03:12
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#193
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Ascalonian Squire
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Phoenix, Arizona
Profession: E/Me
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I saw the thread from last year and there seemed to be a lot more drops. Did the drop rate decrease?
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Dec 24, 2009, 03:56 AM // 03:56
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#194
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Older Than God (1)
Join Date: Aug 2006
Guild: Clan Dethryche [dth]
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I'd bet that there are fewer people farming it for two reasons:
- We now know that the drop rate is terrible
- Fewer players than there were last year.
That would explain the observation.
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Dec 24, 2009, 07:22 AM // 07:22
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#195
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Forge Runner
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If my in-game social circle is the least bit representative, Martin is right. Last year, practically everyone on my guild and friends list was stubbornly trying to beat the odds and get one. This year, I'm the only one.
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Dec 24, 2009, 07:23 AM // 07:23
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#196
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Academy Page
Join Date: Jan 2007
Guild: LTD
Profession: E/Me
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I farmed last year, over 500 runs. I would do it again if I had the time. Close to 100 runs now, more than 7 stacks of shards. Still no bear.
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Dec 24, 2009, 07:41 AM // 07:41
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#197
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Krytan Explorer
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Cantha
Profession: W/E
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I've probably done the run around 100 times and no bear but I don't mind it really, I like all the candy canes you get. Those will come in handy for those fail PuGs for FoWSC lol.
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Dec 24, 2009, 09:55 AM // 09:55
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#198
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Academy Page
Join Date: Jan 2007
Guild: LTD
Profession: E/Me
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I can't say that I don't mind not getting one, cause I really want one. But all the Wintersday treats do give a buffer to make not getting one a bit easier. Haven't figured out if I want to sell the shards or trade for gifts.
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Dec 24, 2009, 06:16 PM // 18:16
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#199
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Wilds Pathfinder
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Portugal
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Well, I surely am farming less since I got one last year. Sold for 1600e which good part was stolen when I got hacked
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Dec 24, 2009, 07:48 PM // 19:48
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#200
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Ascalonian Squire
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Phoenix, Arizona
Profession: E/Me
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Quote:
Originally Posted by disarm76
Well, I surely am farming less since I got one last year. Sold for 1600e which good part was stolen when I got hacked
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How many runs did it take you last year?
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